Utah FORGE 2439: Machine Learning for Well 16A(78)-32 Stress Predictions

This report reviews the training of machine learning algorithms to laboratory triaxial ultrasonic velocity data for Utah FORGE Well 16A(78)-32. Three machine learning (ML) predictive models were developed for the prediction of vertical and two orthogonally oriented horizontal stresses in the well. The ML models were trained using laboratory-based triaxial ultrasonic wave velocity (labTUV) data wherein wave velocities were measured with various combinations of true triaxial applied stress. The ultrasonic velocities data include compressional, fast shear, and slow shear velocities in each of three directions for a total of nine velocities for each stress combination. However, because the ultimate goal is to deploy the trained model for interpretation of field sonic log data where only the vertically propagating waves are measured, the work here focuses on just the wave velocities with vertical (z-direction) propagation. Also, because vertical (overburden) is often well constrained, one approach explored here is to take the vertical stress also as known and train the model to predict the two horizontal stresses. This work was done as part of Utah FORGE project 2439: A Multi-Component Approach to Characterizing In-Situ Stress at the U.S. DOE FORGE EGS Site: Laboratory, Modeling and Field Measurement.